Bitcoin Price Analysis


SUBMITTED BY: BitcoinGurru

DATE: July 10, 2016, 7:35 p.m.

FORMAT: Text only

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  1. Bitcoin price is consolidating at $650 following the block reward halving. A small-block reward halving, mind you, and we now have largely scalable blockchain. Bitcoin users can expect rising miners’ fees, and – if the chart is consolidating for advance – a rising bitcoin price in the coming weeks and years.
  2. The “halvening” caused no immediate fireworks, other than the sharp drop a few blocks prior to the event. Yet, we did not see a new low and price is holding a sideways path.
  3. The price wave since last week’s low has a look of consolidation about it. However, we won’t base any trades on such a tea-leaf reading: there is currently no clear signal to either direction in the 4hr chart above. In fact, the Bollinger Band compression around MACD (magenta arrows) suggests ongoing consolidation.
  4. If price is indeed consolidating, then it will need to make a few additional downward waves. The Fib line cutting through the chart seems to have influence and is holding price down at the time of writing. Eventually, as the pattern goes, we could see the low $600s again, prior to advance.
  5. If decline intensifies, below $600 and according to the scenarios we explored toward the end of the week, then we should get a signal for such a move.
  6. Remember that any advancing price wave will need to surmount $680 (blue layer)before it is considered safe to trade.

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