Statistical Significance for Impressions


SUBMITTED BY: Guest

DATE: Oct. 16, 2019, 4:26 p.m.

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  1. Statistical Significance for Impressions
  2. How many impressions before the CTR becomes 95% accurate?
  3. ++++++++++++++
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  11. +++++++++++++++
  12. hypothetically ...
  13. 500 clicks (CTR is statistically valid [1,000+ is better])
  14. so what is the impressions CTR and where is it? Banners on mediocre websites or PPC ads in Google?
  15. 100 impressions in Google Ads (AdWords new name) may produce 3-7 or more click-throughs.
  16. banner impressions 50000*0.00015 =7.50000
  17. 340000*.00150=510.00000
  18. It might take 340K banners 510 CTR and 10 - 50 payable events ;) (worst case scenario)
  19. ^^ what math do you use?
  20. If you use a Bayesian calculator it will depend on how many clicks you get on those impressions. Comparing 2 ads... 500 impressions on each ad... if one ad gets 1 click and the other 5 clicks.... it will be 95% accurate the one with 5 clicks is better.
  21. Thank you.
  22. So after getting about 500 - 1000 impressions the CTR should be about 95% accurate?
  23. Knock yourself out :D
  24. NO, clicks ON impressions
  25. PPC or some other display and what quality is the media?
  26. You cannot compare ALL impressions from any source ...
  27. Banners or pop ads you may need a A LOT of CPM to get 500 - 1000 clicks.
  28. Unless, bots and network unfiltered garbage 'counts'.
  29. Garbage traffic makes real stats NEAR impossible.
  30. Bottom line is always customer acquisition cost per media/campaign.
  31. That is the ONLY stat that matters when you go to the bank ;)
  32. Code:
  33. <SCRIPT language="LiveScript">
  34. <!-- hide this script tag's contents from old browsers
  35. var p1; var p2; var p3; var p4; var p5
  36. var r1; var r2; var r3; var r4; var r5
  37. var p
  38. function CalcStats(form) {
  39. r1=0; r2=0; r3=0; r4=0; r5=0
  40. p1=eval(form.pp1.value)
  41. p2=eval(form.pp2.value)
  42. p3=eval(form.pp3.value)
  43. p4=eval(form.pp4.value)
  44. p5=eval(form.pp5.value)
  45. if(form.o1.checked=="1") {
  46. r1=r1+p1*eval(form.a11.value)
  47. r2=r2+p2*eval(form.a12.value)
  48. r3=r3+p3*eval(form.a13.value)
  49. r4=r4+p4*eval(form.a14.value)
  50. r5=r5+p5*eval(form.a15.value)
  51. }
  52. if(form.o2.checked=="1") {
  53. r1=r1+p1*eval(form.a21.value)
  54. r2=r2+p2*eval(form.a22.value)
  55. r3=r3+p3*eval(form.a23.value)
  56. r4=r4+p4*eval(form.a24.value)
  57. r5=r5+p5*eval(form.a25.value)
  58. }
  59. if(form.o3.checked=="1") {
  60. r1=r1+p1*eval(form.a31.value)
  61. r2=r2+p2*eval(form.a32.value)
  62. r3=r3+p3*eval(form.a33.value)
  63. r4=r4+p4*eval(form.a34.value)
  64. r5=r5+p5*eval(form.a35.value)
  65. }
  66. if(form.o4.checked=="1") {
  67. r1=r1+p1*eval(form.a41.value)
  68. r2=r2+p2*eval(form.a42.value)
  69. r3=r3+p3*eval(form.a43.value)
  70. r4=r4+p4*eval(form.a44.value)
  71. r5=r5+p5*eval(form.a45.value)
  72. }
  73. if(form.o5.checked=="1") {
  74. r1=r1+p1*eval(form.a51.value)
  75. r2=r2+p2*eval(form.a52.value)
  76. r3=r3+p3*eval(form.a53.value)
  77. r4=r4+p4*eval(form.a54.value)
  78. r5=r5+p5*eval(form.a55.value)
  79. }
  80. p=r1+r2+r3+r4+r5
  81. if(p==0) {p=1}
  82. r1=r1/p; r2=r2/p; r3=r3/p; r4=r4/p; r5=r5/p
  83. form.rp1.value = Fmt(r1)
  84. form.rp2.value = Fmt(r2)
  85. form.rp3.value = Fmt(r3)
  86. form.rp4.value = Fmt(r4)
  87. form.rp5.value = Fmt(r5)
  88. }
  89. function Fmt(x) {
  90. var v
  91. if(x>=0) { v=''+(x+0.0005) } else { v=''+(x-0.0005) }
  92. return v.substring(0,v.indexOf('.')+4)
  93. }
  94. function RevPrior(form) {
  95. form.pp1.value = form.rp1.value
  96. form.pp2.value = form.rp2.value
  97. form.pp3.value = form.rp3.value
  98. form.pp4.value = form.rp4.value
  99. form.pp5.value = form.rp5.value
  100. }
  101. <!-- done hiding from old browsers -->
  102. </SCRIPT>
  103. Thank you.
  104. So after getting about 500 - 1000 impressions the CTR should be about 95% accurate?
  105. As I said, it depends on how many clicks you get on those impressions.
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